Researcher warns that Government Strategy for Social Mobility misled by a statistical trap

Research by Warwick Business School at the University of Warwick warns that a key Government Strategy for Social Mobility is placing considerable reliance on a table which is simply replicating a well known statistical trap or artifact that may not be the true picture.

The policy proposal put forward by Nick Clegg in a strategy document published by the Government at the start of this month entitled: “Opening Doors, Breaking Barriers: A Strategy for Social Mobility” puts a great deal of faith in a graph that appears to show that children from poor families of high ability massively underachieve relative to children from wealthy families of similar ability, and that conversely children from wealthy families of low ability massively overachieve relative to children from poor families matched on ability.

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