• Bookies sort political favourites from rank outsiders

    Bookies sort political favourites from rank outsiders

    Political betting is one way of forecasting how this election might go. Working on the premise that bookies rarely lose money and always do their homework, the odds they are offering might give an overall picture of what the country will look like electorally on May 8. There has been a remarkable transformation in the…

  • Who’s going to win?  Show me the money

    Who’s going to win?  Show me the money

    I blogged previously about a conference at which academics made predictions for potential election results based on a range of factors. One of those factors was money. It is possible, by looking at the Electoral Commission website, to see which constituency or local parties have received the most in donations in any particular quarter. Parties…